Guy

Strike! By Zap

An exciting development form the extraordinary team over at Zap and the Mallers Fam! The seed of the infrastructure inversion has landed, and its’ called Strike!

Read More

CryptoQuikRead_346 – The Kindest Cut; Why The 2020 Bitcoin Halving… [Peter C. Earle]

“What’s noteworthy about this point is that, upon this particular halving, Bitcoin “inflating” at a roughly 1.8 percent rate annually will nominally — and by then, quite possibly in real terms — be “inflating” at a rate lower than both the Federal Reserve target of 2 percent per year and current, CPI-based estimates of real…

Read More

The Kindest Cut; Why The 2020 Bitcoin Halving…

“What’s noteworthy about this point is that, upon this particular halving, Bitcoin “inflating” at a roughly 1.8 percent rate annually will nominally — and by then, quite possibly in real terms — be “inflating” at a rate lower than both the Federal Reserve target of 2 percent per year and current, CPI-based estimates of real U.S. inflation of 1.9 percent annually.” – Peter C Earle

Read More

CryptoQuikRead_345 – Bitcoin Obsoletes All Other Money [Parker Lewis]

“Money is an intersubjective problem, and a choice to opt into one monetary medium is an explicit opt out of the other, which in turn causes one network to gain value (and utility) at the direct expense of another.” – Parker Lewis Skipping around a little bit in the “Gradually, Then Suddenly” series, we read…

Read More

Bitcoin Obsoletes All Other Money

“Money is an intersubjective problem, and a choice to opt into one monetary medium is an explicit opt out of the other, which in turn causes one network to gain value (and utility) at the direct expense of another.” – Parker Lewis

Read More

GuysTake_026 – The Halving is Not Priced in, Here’s Why

As a follow up to Nic Carter’s excellent breakdown of the efficient market hypothesis, and PlanB’s piece addressing the market’s evaluation of the risks in Bitcoin, I go through the reasons I feel the market both is very unwilling and unconfident about the consequences of the halving, and therefore sees it not as “known information,”…

Read More

The Halving is Not Priced in, Here’s Why

As a follow up to Nic Carter’s and PlanB’s articles on how the markets are pricing Bitcoin’s supply and known halvings, I go through the reasons I feel the market both is very unwilling and unconfident about the consequences of the halving. It is less “known information,” and more a blind gamble.

Read More

CryptoQuikRead_344 – Efficient Markets & Bitcoin’s Stock to Flow [PlanB]

“A first reaction could be that it is a great investment opportunity. A better reaction (from an EMH and non arbitrage point of view) would be that it is too good to be true.” – PlanB If the efficient market hypothesis requires that known events be priced in, then how could the S2F be a…

Read More

CryptoQuikRead_344 – Efficient Markets & Bitcoin’s Stock to Flow [PlanB]

“A first reaction could be that it is a great investment opportunity. A better reaction (from an EMH and non arbitrage point of view) would be that it is too good to be true.” – PlanB

If the efficient market hypothesis requires that known events be priced in, then how could the S2F be a model for Bitcoin’s price? When such an obvious and unchanging piece of information is available, shouldn’t the market price it in? Continuing with the foundation laid from yesterday’s article, we read Plan B’s piece on what a risk & return model might tell us about the market’s pricing of Bitcoin ahead of the halving.

Drop some applause on the original article at the link below and don’t forget to follow @100TrillionUSD (PlanB) if you haven’t already!
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/efficient-market-hypothesis-and-bitcoin-stock-to-flow-model-db17f40e6107

Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/bitcoinaudible/message

Read More

Efficient Markets & Bitcoin’s Stock to Flow

“A first reaction could be that it is a great investment opportunity. A better reaction (from an EMH and non arbitrage point of view) would be that it is too good to be true.” – PlanB

Read More